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Not a Toss Up

Not a Toss Up   more»»
The Crystal Ball: "While no election outcome is guaranteed and McCain's prospects could improve over the next three and a half months, virtually all of the evidence that we have reviewed -- historical patterns, structural features of this election cycle, and national and state polls conducted over the last several months -- point to a comfortable Obama/Democratic party victory in November. Trumpeting this race as a toss-up, almost certain to produce another nail-biter finish, distorts the evidence and does a disservice to readers and viewers who rely upon such punditry. Again, maybe conditions will change in McCain's favor, and if they do, they should also be accurately described by the media. But current data do not justify calling this election a toss-up."

Thu Jul 24, 2008


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Obama Campaign Calls McCain Camp's VP Bluff   more»»
Sen. Barack Obama's campaign hit back at speculation that Sen. John McCain would leak the name of his running mate tonight to distract from Obama's acceptance speech.

Obama communications chief Dan Pfeiffer told Politico: "Tonight would be political malpractice. It's one more piece of evidence that the McCain campaign is a war room masquerading as a presidential campaign."

However Pfeiffer did say that, "If they do it, I will pay all of McCain's mortgages next month."


McCain Still Trying to Find Spectators   more»»
According to the Dayton Daily News, Sen. John McCain is still giving away tickets to his Friday rally where he will unveil his running mate. He's having trouble filling a 10,000 seat arena.

The contrast with Sen. Barack Obama giving a speech before 75,000 people tonight is striking and speaks to the excitement factor between the candidates. Obama tickets have been sold out for weeks.


Connecticut Delegates Want Lieberman Punished   more»»
Connecticut delegates "are demanding that party leaders punish Sen. Joe Lieberman, the Democrat-turned-Independent, because of his support of Sen. John McCain," according to The Hill.

"For many of them, Lieberman's plan to speak at next week's Republican convention in St. Paul, Minn., is the latest offense from the man who represented their state as a Democrat in Washington for 18 years."

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, however, is being practical, He realizes that if Lieberman were to caucus with Republicans the Democrats would lose control of the U.S. Senate until at least January.


The Latest McCain Veep Buzz   more»»
Reports suggest Sen. John McCain has made his running mate pick and will unveil his decision at an event in Ohio on Friday. The New York Times reports it's mainly three men who are under consideration: Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty and Joe Lieberman.

According to ABC News, Romney was followed to the airport yesterday "by a grey unmarked Chevy SUV with police lights. Two men wearing suits using ear pieces were in the driver and passenger seats." Has his Secret Service protection already arrived?

The Minneapolis Star Tribune says Pawlenty will be in Denver today to go on attack against the Democrats. "The high-visibility mission is the latest stop in a whirlwind campaign swing that for several days recently sent Pawlenty barnstorming for Republican candidate John McCain across the battleground states of Ohio and Pennsylvania. It culminates months in which Pawlenty's national profile has risen amid speculation about his chances of being chosen as McCain's running mate."

Meanwhile, Lieberman refused to take himself out of consideration despite pressure from conservatives. However, there are also reports that Lieberman advised McCain of the dangers to the Republican party of picking him.


Mason-Dixon: Florida Remains a Toss Up   more»»
A new News-Press Florida Poll of likely Florida voters shows Sen. Barack Obama barely beating Sen. John McCain, 45% to 44% with 11% undecided.

Said pollster Brad Coker: "Once again, the battle for Florida appears to be at the political epicenter of another presidential race."