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9 PM: Poll Closings more similar news »
Polls close in Arizona and New York. Caucus doors close in Minnesota, Montana (Reps), North Dakota and New Mexico (Dems), though results will take time since no exit polling is done.
Network projections at the top of the hour:
Clinton wins in New YorkNo projection in Arizona could be trouble for McCainNBC News projects Clinton wins Massachusetts
Fox News projects Clinton wins New Jersey
CNN projects McCain wins New York
CNN projects Obama wins Alabama
NBC News projects McCain wins Oklahoma
Wed Feb 06, 2008 more from this source»»
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8 PM: Poll Closings more similar news »
Polls close in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma and Tennessee.
Network projections based on exit polls:
Obama wins in IllinoisClinton wins in Oklahoma, Tennessee
McCain wins Connecticut, Illinois, New Jersey, Delaware
Romney wins MassachusettsWith no projections made in Connecticut, New Jersey and Massachusetts on the Democratic side, it's troubling news for the Clinton campaign. She led in these states by wide margins for most of the last year.
NBC declares Huckabee winner in Alabama.
Wed Feb 06, 2008 more from this source»»
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Exit Polls more similar news »
Drudge reports the exit polls:
Obama: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37... Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45... Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45... Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42... Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30... Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48... Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46... New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47...
Clinton: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26... California: Clinton 50, Obama 47... New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43... Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31... Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41...
Wed Feb 06, 2008 more from this source»»
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7 PM: Poll Closings more similar news »
Polls close in Georgia.
Sen. Barack Obama easily wins the Georgia primary, according to network projections based on exit polls. This was expected, but the margin of victory may be an indicator of what happens in the rest of the country.
On the Republican side, it's still a three way race between Mike Huckabee, Sen. John McCain and Mitt Romney.
According to the Washington Post, Obama carried black voters in Georgia "by more than six to one, a margin
that left him with an impressive victory." By contrast, Obama won black voters in neighboring South Carolina by a four to one margin.
CNN says Obama won the black vote, 88% to 11%. Clinton won the white vote, 57% to 39%, a smaller margin than she had in South Carolina. At least in Georgia, Obama is doing bettter than anyone expected.
The Clinton campaign sent out talking points to reporters saying they never spent a significant amount of time in Georgia.
Wed Feb 06, 2008 more from this source»»
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Exit Poll Results more similar news »
Here are some preliminary findings from the exit polls conducted by the television networks and the Associated Press:
The economy is the biggest issue for both Democratic and Republican voters (approximately 50%); while Iraq is the biggest issue for about 30%.
Clinton voters said "experience" was the most important quality in a president; Obama voters prefered "change"
Like most states this year, turnout is higher for Democrats than Republicans
Note: Exit polls are not conducted for caucuses, only for states that held primaries today.
Update: More analysis from Fox News, ABC News, CBS News, MSNBC and CNN.
Wed Feb 06, 2008 more from this source»»
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Huckabee Wins West Virginia more similar news »
Mike Huckabee won West Virginia's Republican convention on Tuesday, after an apparent deal with Sen. John McCain to prevent Mitt Romney from taking the 18 delegates at stake.
Romney led after the first round of voting, with Huckabee second and McCain way back in third place.
The Wall Street Journal: "Think the Iowa caucuses were confusing? They’ve got nothing on West Virginia."
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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About California more similar news »
All eyes are on California, as most polls show the Democratic presidential race either very close or completely up in the air. For example:
The latest Reuters/C -Span/Zogby poll shows Obama leading Clinton, 49% to 36%.
The latest SurveyUSA poll gives the edge to Clinton, 52% to 42%.
But Marc Ambinder notes it may not matter who actually wins due to the strange rules for awarding delegates. "If, in many congressional districts in California, a Democrat does not receive more than 62% of the vote, he or she will receive the same number of delegates from that CD as the he or she who finishes second. Hence Hillary Clinton could win California by, say, 20 points... and take a sliver of a delegate advantage there."
Further confusing the situation: The Hotline notes we may not get the final delegate tally until Friday.
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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McCain Prepares to Abandon Public Financing more similar news »
"With the Republican presidential nomination within reach," Sen. John McCain is "reshaping his campaign to press on without public financing that could limit his spring spending," reports The Politico.
McCain's "rejection of the presidential public financing program he once defended is just the latest evidence of how ineffective the post-Watergate reform has become in an era of multimillion-dollar candidacies."
We noted McCain's fundraising dilemma more than two years ago.
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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What to Watch For Tonight more similar news »
To make some sense of today's voting, Political Wire reviewed all the polls, surveyed our favorite pundits and flipped a coin when necessary in an attempt to highlight the key races.
Here's how we rate the races for Democrats:
Advantage Clinton:
Arkansas, New York, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee
Advantage Obama:
Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Minnesota, Kansas, North Dakota
No Clear Favorite:
Alaska, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Missouri, Delaware, Utah, Massachusetts, American Samoa, Democrats Abroad
Here's how we rate the races for Republicans:
Advantage McCain:
Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Montana, New York, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee
Advantage Romney:
Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, West Virginia, Utah
No Clear Favorite:
California, Missouri, Georgia, Minnesota
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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Super Tuesday! more similar news »
CQ Politics has a must-read preview of today's Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses in 24 states. There are 1,681 delegates at stake for the Democrats (nominee needs 2,025) and 1,038 at stake for the Republicans (nominee needs 1,191).
The Politico and the Wall Street Journal have good graphics showing what is at stake.
Remember to check Political Wire all day for the latest news and buzz. Sign up for our free daily email newsletter for breaking news and a daily summary of the most important political stories.
First state with results in early afternoon:
West Virginia convention (Republicans only)
Polls close at 7:00 pm ET:
Georgia primaries
Polls close at 8 pm ET:
Alabama primaries
Connecticut primaries
Delaware primaries
Illinois primaries
Massachusetts primaries
Missouri primaries
New Jersey primaries
Oklahoma primaries
Tennessee primaries
Polls close at 8:30 pm ET:
Arkansas primaries
Polls close at 9:00 pm ET:
Kansas caucuses (Democrats only)
Arizona primaries
Colorado caucuses
Minnesota primaries
New Mexico primary (Democrats only)
New York primaries
Polls close at 10:00 pm ET:
Idaho caucuses (Democrats only)
Montana caucuses (Republicans only)
North Dakota caucuses
Utah primaries
Polls close at 11:00 pm ET:
California primaries
Last polls close at 1:30 am ET:
Alaska primaries
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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Campaigns Try to Lower Expectations more similar news »
The campaigns of Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. Hillary Clinton competed "to lower expectations less than 24 hours before voters and caucus-goers make their preferences known in the 22 states with Democratic nominating contests," CQ Politics reports.
"Leading strategists in both camps said the nomination fight will move beyond Super Tuesday -- with Obama’s camp looking forward to friendly territory in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia next week and Clinton’s side optimistic about March 4 primaries in delegate-rich Texas and Ohio, as well as an April contest in Pennsylvania."
Examples:
Memo from Obama campaign manager David PlouffeStatement from Clinton campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson
Tue Feb 05, 2008 more from this source»»
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Gallup Poll: Clinton, Obama Remain Very Close more similar news »
On the eve of the Super Tuesday election, the latest Gallup tracking poll shows Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama in a tight national race, 47% to 43%.
Drilling down to just the Super Tuesday states shows Clinton leading 49% to 44%.
In the GOP race, Sen. John McCain continues to hold a commanding lead over Mitt Romney, 45% to 25%
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Bloomberg May Get On State Ballots more similar news »
Despite consistent denials that he will run for president, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg "may soon begin a massive operation to get on the ballot in up to 15 states even though the billionaire mayor may not decide until May whether to run," the AP reports.
Bloomberg's "evaluation of his own plans could stretch all the way into May, contrary to conventional wisdom that he would make up his mind after Super Tuesday, said Doug Schoen, who was Bloomberg's pollster in his mayoral campaigns and remains part of the mayor's inner circle."
Said Schoen: "This can play out over the next two to three months before he has to make a decision."
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Open House Seats Attract Big Bucks more similar news »
CQ Politics scours the latest fundraising reports and compiles a list of the ten open House seats where candidates have raised the most money.
There are currently 34 seats that are currently open, meaning the incumbent will not seek re-election, or vacant due to death or resignation. Of the 29 open seats, 24 are currently represented by Republicans and just five by Democrats. Among the five vacant seats, four of them were Republican seats and one was Democratic.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Clinton Holds Another Emotional Pre-Primary Event more similar news »
Sen. Hillary Clinton "became teary-eyed during an event at Yale University Monday -- a moment that harkened back to her much talked-about display of emotion on the eve of the New Hampshire Primary," CNN reports.
"Clinton's last teary moment on the trail occurred after an undecided voter asked how she was holding up. The moment instantly became the most-covered event on the campaign trail on the day before the critical New Hampshire primary, drawing both praise from some who said Clinton had finally bared her true self to voters, and criticism from those who thought the moment was calculated."
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Bumper Sticker Momentum more similar news »
The sale of political merchandise on Cafe Press shows another indication of Sen. Barack Obama's momentum in the Democratic presidential race.
After being nearly tied two weeks ago in weekly sales (Obama at 28%, Hillary at 26%), as of last week, Obama has surged to account for 48% of all candidate weekly sales, while Clinton is down to 18%. In total for December, Clinton sold 18% more products than Obama, but in January, Obama's sales are now nearly double those of his chief rival.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Cook/RT Poll: Obama Passes Clinton more similar news »
Political Wire got an advance look at the latest Cook Political Report/RT Strategies national survey which shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. Hillary Clinton, 43% to 37%, just outside the 5.1 point margin of error.
In the GOP race, Sen. John McCain leads Mitt Romney, 39% to 24%, with Mike Huckabee third with 18%.
In general election match ups, McCain leads Clinton by 4 points, 45 to 41 percent; Obama leads McCain by two points, 45 to 43 percent.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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CNN Poll: Obama Catches Clinton more similar news »
The latest CNN/Opinion Research national survey finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. Hillary Clinton, 49% to 46%, within the survey's 4.5 point margin of error.
"The poll is consistent with other national surveys during the past few days. A CNN averaging of five national polls conducted in the last few days -- a 'poll of polls' -- puts Clinton at 45 percent and Obama at 43 percent. Those five surveys were done by CNN/Opinion Research Corp., Gallup, Pew, ABC and CBS."
In the Republican race, Sen. John McCain leads Mitt Romney, 44% to 29%, with Mike Huckabee at 18%.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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Reuters/Zogby: Obama Surges in Latest Tracking Poll more similar news »
The latest Reuters/C-Span/Zogby tracking poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. Hillary Clinton in three of the four key Democratic Super Tuesday races surveyed -- Georgia, Missouri, and California -- and the two were tied in the fourth, New Jersey.
On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain leads in three out of four key Super Tuesday states -- including winning more than 50% support in New York and New Jersey -- but trails Mitt Romney in California.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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CBS/NYT Poll: Obama, Clinton Tied Nationally more similar news »
The latest CBS News/New York Times poll finds the Democratic race tied with Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. Hillary Clinton each getting 41% support.
Key findings: "While Clinton's overall support has remained steady, Obama has made significant gains among men, particularly white men, and African Americans."
On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain holds a wide lead over Mitt Romney, 46% to 23%.
Mon Feb 04, 2008 more from this source»»
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WP/ABC News Poll: Democratic Race Very Close Nationally more similar news »
With just two days before Super Tuesday, a new Washington Post/ABC News national poll shows the Democratic presidential race extremely close with Sen. Hillary Clinton edging Sen. Barack Obama, 47% to 43%.
Key finding: Neither candidate seems to be benefiting more than the other from the exit of John Edwards from the race last week.
On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain has jumped to a commanding lead over Mitt Romney, 48% to 24%, with Mike Huckabee at 16%.
Sun Feb 03, 2008 more from this source»»
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Super Tuesday Polls - Democrats more similar news »
Alabama
Obama 47, Clinton 47 (SurveyUSA)
Arizona
Clinton 43, Obama 41 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Clinton 46, Obama 41 (Rasmussen)
California
Clinton 36, Obama 34 (Field Poll)
Obama 45, Clinton 41 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
Clinton 45, Obama 36 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Delaware
Clinton 44, Obama 42 (American Research Group)
Georgia
Obama 48, Clinton 28 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
Obama 47, Clinton 41 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Illinois
Obama 55, Clinton 24 (Chicago Tribune)
Missouri
Clinton 47, Obama 41 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Clinton 44, Obama 43 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
Obama 44, Clinton 42 (American Research Group)Clinton 48, Obama 44 (SurveyUSA)
New Jersey
Clinton 46, Obama 39 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Clinton 50, Obama 36 (Monmouth University/Gannett)
Clinton 43, Obama 42 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
New York
Clinton 54, Obama 38 (Marist College)Oklahoma
Clinton 41, Obama 17 (Tulsa World)
Sun Feb 03, 2008 more from this source»»
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Super Tuesday Polls - Republicans more similar news »
Alabama
McCain 40, Huckabee 31, Romney 21 (SurveyUSA)
Arizona
McCain 43, Romney 34 (Rasmussen)
California
McCain 32, Romney 24, Huckabee 13 (Field Poll)
Romney 37, McCain 34 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
McCain 40, Romney 31, Huckabee 13 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Delaware
McCain 41, Romney 35 (American Research Group)
Georgia
McCain 33, Romney 27, Huckabee 18 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
Illinois
McCain 43, Romney 20, Huckabee (Chicago Tribune)
Missouri
McCain 37, Huckabee 27, Romney 24 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
McCain 36, Huckabee 27, Romney 22 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
Huckabee 31, McCain 29, Romney 27 (American Research Group)
New Jersey
McCain, 54, Romney 23 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
McCain 46, Romney 31, Huckabee 5 (McClatchy-MSNBC)
McCain 55, Romney 23, Huckabee 7 (Monmouth University/Gannett)
New York
McCain 49, Romney 23 (Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby)
McCain 61, Romney 24 (Marist College)Oklahoma
McCain 40, Huckabee 19, Romney 17 (Tulsa World)
Sun Feb 03, 2008 more from this source»»
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Clinton, McCain Open Wider National Leads more similar news »
The latest Gallup tracking poll shows Sen. Hillary Clinton with a 7 point lead nationally over Sen. Barack Obama, 48% to 41%. This is up from just a three point lead yesterday.
On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain now holds a 20 point lead over Mitt Romney, 44% to 24%, "his largest lead since he assumed the front-runner position following the New Hampshire Republican primary." Mike Huckabee trails at 16%.
Sat Feb 02, 2008 more from this source»»
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Will Gore Endorse Obama? more similar news »
Despite indications that Al Gore will stay neutral in the presidential race, Joshua Green reviews speculation that he may endorse Sen. Barack Obama shortly.
"A well-connected Tennesseean told me two things today that got me thinking about this. The first is that Obama and Gore have been speaking regularly, about every two weeks or so. The second is that, despite this, and despite Tennessee’s primary on Tuesday, Obama has not visited the state since June. It may be simply that he does not plan on competing there. Or it may be that he’s been waiting for a special occasion."
Sat Feb 02, 2008 more from this source»»
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Still Undecided? more similar news »
For a limited time, you can read a complete digital version of The Undecided Voter's Guide to the Next President by Mark Halperin for free by clicking here.
Among the features in this book:
Issue-by-issue charts defining where each candidate stands on the war in Iraq, health care, taxes, the economy, and other significant points of debate.
An assessment of each candidate's strengths and weaknesses.
A hypothetical glimpse into the future of each candidate's potential presidency.
Areas of possible controversy that could spark heated discussion and affect the outcome of the race.
Personal facts and anecdotes about each candidate -- including exclusive Q&As covering everything from their junk food weaknesses to their biggest superstitions.
Sat Feb 02, 2008 more from this source»»
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Tribune Poll: Obama, McCain Way Ahead in Illinois more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. John McCain each hold a better than 2-to-1 edge over their closest presidential rivals entering the Illinois primary, according to a new Chicago Tribune poll, "but many voters say they're still undecided or could change their mind before casting a ballot Tuesday."
Among Democrats, Obama leads Sen. Hillary Clinton, 55% to 24%.
Among Republicans, McCain leads Mitt Romney, 43% to 20%, with Mike Huckabee at 15%.
Sat Feb 02, 2008 more from this source»»
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SurveyUSA: Very Close Races in Missouri more similar news »
A new SurveyUSA poll in Missouri finds a tight Democratic race for president with Sen. Hillary Clinton leading Sen. Barack Obama, 48% to 44%. One in four likely voters say they may change their mind.
On the GOP side, Sen. John McCain leads with 34%, followed by Mitt Romney at 30% and Mike Huckabee at 28%.
Both races are within the margin of error making them statistical dead heats.
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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Obama Pulls Closer to Clinton more similar news »
The latest Gallup daily tracking poll shows Sen. Hillary Clinton edging Sen. Barack Obama, 44% to 41%, "as close as they have been since the polling program started at the beginning of 2008." The three point gap is within the poll's three-point margin of error.
Key finding: "The data suggest that Obama has gained slightly more -- at least initially -- from John Edwards' departure from the race. In the final tracking data including Edwards in all three days' interviewing (Jan. 27-29 data), Clinton had 42%, Obama 36%, and Edwards 12%. Since then, Clinton's support has increased two points and Obama's five. Tomorrow's release will be the first pure post-Edwards three-day rolling average."
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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3D Electoral College more similar news »
If you have Google Earth installed, open this file to see a wonderful three dimensional view of the U.S. Electoral College. Very nice.
If you don't have Google Earth, you should. It's part of the free Google Pack which also includes several other useful software packages.
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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SurveyUSA: Clinton, McCain Lead in New York more similar news »
A new SurveyUSA poll in New York finds Sen. Barack Obama gaining ground in Sen. Hillary Clinton's home state, but Clinton still leads 54% to 38%. Clinton is down 2, Obama is up 8 in the last month.
Key findings: Among men, Obama is up 16 points. Clinton leads by 37 among women resulting in a 49 point gender gap.
On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain holds a wide lead over Mitt Romney, 55% to 21%.
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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SurveyUSA: Tight Democratic Race in Connecticut more similar news »
A new SurveyUSA poll in Connecticut finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. Hillary Clinton, 48% to 44%, within the survey's 3.8 point margin of sampling error making the race effectively tied.
Key finding: Given that 29% of voters say they may yet change their mind, it's not just tied, it's fluid. Relative turnout of men vs women, young vs old, white vs black, will largely shape the outcome.
In the Republican race, Sen. John McCain leads Mitt Romney 53% to 31%.
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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GQR Poll: Obama Closes Gap in New Jersey more similar news »
According to a new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll, Sen. Hillary Clinton’s lead over Sen. Barack Obama in New Jersey has narrowed to 44% to 38%.
The private poll was distributed to some Norcross allies earlier this morning and obtained by PolitickerNJ.com.
New Jersey's Democratic presidential primary is on Feb. 5.
Fri Feb 01, 2008 more from this source»»
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