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Hawkeye Poll: Obama Leads in Iowa more similar news »
A new Iowa Hawkeye poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain among likely voters, 50% to 43%.
Said pollster David Redlawsk: "The race in Iowa, while relatively close, appears to be moving in
Obama's direction. Most importantly
for Obama, his supporters are much more likely to say they 'strongly
support' him, which makes them much more likely to turn out on Election
Day and much more likely to talk to friends and neighbors, volunteer in
the campaign, and do the kinds of things that win elections."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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PPP Poll: McCain Expands Lead in Missouri more similar news »
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Missouri shows Sen. John McCain with a ten point lead over Sen. Barack Obama, 50% to 40%.
McCain had a three point lead last month.
Key findings: "The key to McCain's rise is nearly doubling his lead among white
voters. He now has a 56-35 advantage with them, up from 50-39 in July.
Obama is still dominating among black voters but it's nearly impossible
for him to win in Missouri without keeping his deficit with whites in
single digits."
Furthermore, McCain "is doing a better job of keeping voters
in his party with him than Obama is. He is up 87-9 among Republicans
while Obama has a smaller 78-15 lead with Democrats."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Rasmussen: McCain Keeps Lead in Ohio more similar news »
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll in Ohio shows Sen. John McCain ahead of Sen. Barack Obama, 48% to 43%.
Key finding: "The most discouraging number in the poll for Obama may be the fact that
51% of Ohio voters have an unfavorable opinion of the presumptive
Democratic nominee. That figure includes 33% with a Very Unfavorable
opinion, up six percent from a month ago."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Behind McCain's Pro-Choice Veep Bluff more similar news »
John Heilemann thinks he knows why Sen. John McCain's campaign floated the idea he might choose a pro-choice running mate.
"Well, what if McCain were planning to name a running mate who, despite being pro-life, the religious right has some qualms about? What if that putative V.P., indeed, had lately been criticized by another erstwhile GOP presidential runner -- a Baptist minister, no less -- for his shifting stances on social issues, stirring up a rearguard action among some Christianists to block him? Isn't it possible that McCain and his people are engaged in a bit of elaborate gamesmanship designed to make Evangelicals more grateful than they otherwise might be for the selection of that guy?"
"The heart doth sink and the mind doth reel, but I do believe what we are looking at here is the start of the Romney Rollout."
Mark Halperin essentially says the same thing.
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Obama's Veep Timing more similar news »
I'd still keep checking your email for the official announcement, but Howard Fineman has this: "One of the contenders also revealed a tidbit about timing. That person
says Obama's camp wants to know how to get in touch on Thursday
afternoon."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Lummis Wins Wyoming Congressional Primary more similar news »
Former Wyoming state Treasurer Cynthia Lummis (R) won the Republican nomination for Wyoming's open at-large House seat, "despite being outspent by more than a four-to-one ratio by the runner-up," Mark Gordon (R), according to CQ Politics.
Lummis is the favorite to win the seat being vacated by Rep. Barbara Cubin (R-WY).
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Did Obama Slip? more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama "is almost always diligent about saying 'he or she' when discussing his potential running mate," Jake Tapper notes.
"But at a lively town hall meeting in the Tarheel State Tuesday evening, the senator -- who is expected to announce his vice presidential pick at the end of this week -- used a decidedly male pronoun."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Civitas Poll: McCain Ahead in North Carolina more similar news »
A new Civitas Poll in North Carolina shows Sen. John McCain with a 6 point lead over Sen. Barack Obama, 46% to 40%.
Said pollster Francis DeLuca: "This month we've seen McCain reverse the tightening trend over the last
few months and expand his lead over Obama by garnering a larger share
of unaffiliated voters... While Obama and his campaign have talked about North Carolina being in
play, the numbers do not seem to be indicating that is happening on the
ground despite an unprecedented effort. According to our polling, Obama
seems to be stuck at 40 percent support."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Susquehana Poll: Obama Ahead in Pennsylvania more similar news »
A new Susquehanna poll in Pennsylvania shows Sen. Barack Obama with a narrow lead over Sen. John McCain, 46% to 41%, with another 10% still undecided.
Key finding: "Both McCain and Obama have virtually the same ratios in hard name ID and are liked nearly equally by the voters. For Obama, he is viewed favorably by 46% of voters, compared to 32% who have an unfavorable opinion; 22% have no opinion of him. For McCain, 44% view him favorably, compared to 34% who view him unfavorably and 22% who have no opinion. This again reflects the closeness of the race since neither candidate has succeeded in developing a positive image that is head-and-shoulders above the other."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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SurveyUSA: McCain Leads in Indiana more similar news »
A new SurveyUSA poll in Indiana finds Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Barack Obama by six points, 50% to 44%. Compared to an identical poll released eight weeks ago, Obama is down 3
points; McCain is up 3.
Key findings: "Among those who regularly attend religious
services, McCain leads by 28 points, up from 16 points eight weeks ago.
Among those who occasionally attend, Obama leads by 14. Among those who
rarely attend, Obama leads by 23."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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LAT/Bloomberg Poll: Presidential Race Tightens more similar news »
The latest Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll shows the presidential race remains tight, with Sen. Barack Obama edging Sen. John McCain, 45% to 43%.
"More striking than the head-to-head matchup, however, is the drop in Obama's favorable rating" which "has sunk to 48% from 59%" since the poll in June.
"At the same time, his negative rating has risen to 35% from 27%."
Key findings: "Most voters say they know at least some people who feel uneasy about electing a black president; 17% say the country is not ready to do so."
However, "the poll found that McCain faces serious obstacles. Voters favor Obama on the economy, the issue they rank as most important. McCain's supporters remain less enthusiastic than those of his rival. And independents, a crucial swing bloc, are leaning toward Obama."
Wed Aug 20, 2008 more from this source»»
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Lieberman Being Vetted By McCain more similar news »
Top aides to Sen. Joe Lieberman "have reached out to former staffers in recent days with substantive questions' about the issue areas they focused on while working for the Connecticut senator," reports Politico.
"Without saying definitively that the information-gathering was being done to share with McCain's campaign, this source said 'it would be unusual if not in the context of being vetted.'"
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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A Few More Veep Rumors more similar news »
Palmetto Scoop: "A source inside the beltway informed me that high ranking officials
throughout Virginia were recently summoned to the governor's office for
an emergency meeting which reportedly involved discussions on the line
of succession if and when Kaine steps down to become Obama's running
mate."
Howard Fineman: "Within the last few hours I've spoken with two of the finalists for the
role of Barack Obama's running-mate, and to two other sources who are
close to the process. My bottom line is this: Barring a big
surprise or last-minute change of heart, the choice is likely to be
Sen. Joe Biden of Deleware, chairman of the Foreign Relations
Committee."
Marc Ambinder: "A reader writes: What about Jack Reed of Rhode Island? A friend there says the town is
crawling with Secret Service and government plates. I don't know any
better but to trust him."
Ben Smith: "I thought it would be useful to revisit the very small store of actual information, which is: Chris Dodd, Tim Kaine, and Tom Daschle have been vetted. Sam Nunn says he has not."
Lynn Sweet: "The Obama team... will
showcase the new Obama ticket Saturday in Springfield at the Old State
Capitol, where presumptive Democratic nominee... officially kicked off his campaign in February, 2007... This does not mean that this is the time and place where Obama
announces his running mate; that could happen any time from Wednesday
morning on."
Tribble Ad Agency: "Our sources work within an ad agency that is hired by the Obama
campaign... It appears OBAMASEBELIUS.COM is owned by the Obama Campaign, and the
'hidden' registration will turn into a website after the announcement.
Our lead noted that a site is already being designed .. and advertising
agencies are always full of leaks."
Update: A Political Wire reader emails to say he owns the domain name obamasebelius.com and that he's not affiliated with the Obama campaign in any way.
The Page: "Ridge is out. A GOP strategist says the former Pennsylvania Governor is no longer being considered as McCain's veep."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Democrats, eBay Block Sale of Convention Tickets more similar news »
"Scalpers beware -- Democratic Convention organizers are keeping a tight hold on tickets to Sen. Barack Obama 's acceptance speech at Invesco Field and are working with online auction site eBay.com to keep tickets in the chosen hands," reports CQ Politics.
"According to the Illinois Democrat's campaign and eBay, the popular auction site is banning sales of tickets to the Aug. 28 acceptance speech. eBay is a common tool for reselling tickets to popular events, often well above face value -- something Democratic organizers are trying to avoid."
You can, however, get tickets to previous conventions as collector's items.
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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New National Poll Coming more similar news »
The Los Angeles Times teases us with a few details from a new poll coming later today: "Suffice to say that the results will not alter the perception that -- given a seemingly sunny political climate for Democrats -- Barack Obama is under-performing nationally."
For John McCain, "the poll underscores that the more voters focus on domestic issues, the greater the challenge to his hopes of winning the presidency. And he and his aides might be a bit surprised by the findings when voters are asked whether they view Obama as 'too arrogant and presumptuous' and whether McCain could be considered 'too hot-tempered.'"
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Democrats Slam McCain on Oil Ties more similar news »
Reporters joining Sen. John McCain on a visit to an oil rig off the coast of New Orleans today received a special campaign kit from the DNC including a "limited edition Exxon-McCain '08 stress ball" in the shape of an oil drum.
From the included note: "Since we know how stressful it has been to watch your access to the candidate diminish under Steve Schmidt's new rules, we hope you'll accept this oil barrel-shaped stress ball along with some additional Exxon-McCain '08 paraphernalia. It is the least we can do."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Obama Changes Tone more similar news »
Time: "Barack Obama seems to have gotten the message about his message. In the past few days, amid growing concerns among Democratic allies, Obama has begun campaigning in a different gear, one that is more aggressive in attacking John McCain and more focused on the economic concerns of struggling Americans ... As he prepares to name his vice presidential running mate and formally accept the Democratic nomination next week in Denver, Obama is clearly campaigning in a different mode. Where he would rarely even mention McCain in the past, Obama now openly mocks him."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Woodward's Fourth Book on Bush Coming more similar news »
The AP reports Bob Woodward's fourth investigative work on the Bush administration will be released in three weeks.
"The
War Within: A Secret White House History 2006-2008 will be published
Sept. 8 by Simon & Schuster with an announced first printing of
900,000 copies. Simon & Schuster is keeping the book under strict
embargo -- although such embargoes are often broken -- and had even held
back the title."
Mike Allen: "The book's revelations are likely to propel a re-examination of the Iraq war into the headlines just as the fall presidential campaign is taking off."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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McCain Weighing Pro-Choice Running Mate more similar news »
The National Review "has learned that the McCain campaign has
been calling key state GOP officials around the country the last couple
of days and sounding them out about the consequences of a pro-choice VP
pick. The campaign is asking about the reaction of conservative
grass-roots activists to such a pick and whether a pro-choicer can be
sold to them."
This is seen as "an indication that the McCain campaign is serious
about the possibility of a pro-choice VP nominee and that McCain
leaving the door open to Tom Ridge last week may not have been merely a
friendly nod to a longtime supporter. In this scenario, McCain's
emphatic pro-life statements Saturday night and his pledge that he'll
run a 'pro-life administration' would have been partly an attempt to
reassure conservatives in the event of a pro-choice pick."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Quinnipiac: Obama Tops McCain by Five Points more similar news »
The latest Quinnipiac national poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 47% to 42%. Last month, Obama led by a 50% to 41% margin.
Key findings: McCain leads 46% to 41% among men and leads 65% to 25% among white Evangelical Christians. But Obama leads 53% to 39% among women and leads 55% to 36% among voters 18 to 34 years old. Independent voters now favor Obama by 45% to 39%.
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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McCain Plans VP Birthday Bash more similar news »
Our earlier speculation on an errant blog posting appears to be on the right track.
According to Politico, Sen. John McCain "plans to celebrate his 72nd birthday on Aug. 29 by naming his running mate at a huge rally in the battleground state of Ohio."
The campaign "has begun building a crowd of 10,000 for Dayton, Ohio,
according to an organizer. McCain is scheduled to appear with his
running mate at a large-scale event in Pennsylvania shortly thereafter."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Obama VP Pick Coming Soon more similar news »
Matt Drudge says the New York Times has learned that Sen. Barack Obama has now finalized his choice for a running-mate and "set an elaborate roll-out to announce his decision that will begin with an early morning e-mail to supporters, perhaps as early as Tuesday."
Update: The New York Times says Sen. Evan Bayh, Sen. Joe Biden and Gov. Tim Kaine have been Obama's main focus.
"By all indications, Mr. Obama remains likely to chose someone
relatively safe and avoid taking a chance with a game-changing
selection."
Update II: NBC News reports Biden is the leading contender "partly due to his working-class roots and foreign policy expertise."
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Someone's Not Telling the Truth more similar news »
Two different stories on the invitation Ralph Reed sent out to supporters inviting them to a fundraiser for Sen. John McCain.
McCain campaign: "A McCain campaign aide tells ABC News that Reed sent out an email solicitation on his own encouraging people to support Senator McCain, but was not invited to the fundraiser. Another McCain aide said Reed has nothing to do with the campaign, hadn't donated to it, and was not acting on the campaign's behalf in the solicitation e-mail."
Ralph Reed: "Reed told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution that he sent the e-mail at the request of the campaign and was given boilerplate language to use."
Update: The AP says McCain raised $1.75 million at the event.
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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McCain Outspending Obama in Battlegrounds more similar news »
"The McCain campaign has outspent the Obama camp by hundreds of
thousands of dollars, and in some cases by as much as a million dollars
or more, in virtually all of the nearly dozen battleground states where
both campaigns are up on the air," TPM reports.
"McCain is advertising heavily in 11 traditional battlegrounds; Obama is
advertising in those same 11 plus roughly seven more; and McCain holds
a heavy advantage in virtually all the 11 shared states."
It should be noted that McCain is looking to spend all of his remaining cash on hand -- approximately $21 million at the start of August -- before he accepts the GOP nomination and accepts public financing.
Tue Aug 19, 2008 more from this source»»
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Obama Builds His Party more similar news »
American Prospect: "For all the talk of post-partisan 'unity,' Barack Obama has been
proving himself the most party-focused presidential candidate in recent
history -- possibly ever. Paradoxically, although Obama's success has
been more dependent on personal charisma than any recent nominee's has,
he's been leveraging that charisma to build a broader Democratic
infrastructure less dependent on the presidential nominee."
Mon Aug 18, 2008 more from this source»»
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Edwards Used Wife's Illness to Spike Story more similar news »
When the Raleigh News and Observer was considering running a story about John Edwards having an extramarital affair with a campaign worker, Edwards pleaded with Executive Editor John Dresher to spare his wife the resulting stress because she was ill.
"Edwards told me that the allegations were not true. He said
The N&O was the paper that arrived on his doorstep every day, the
one read by friends of him and his wife, Elizabeth. He said he'd
never called before to complain or state his case. Given Elizabeth's
health -- she has cancer -- he said it was especially important to him
that the story not run in The N&O."
According to Edwards' recent confession, his wife supposedly already knew about the affair.
Mon Aug 18, 2008 more from this source»»
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McCain Zeroes In On Ohio Running Mate? more similar news »
Marc Ambinder noticed that an Ohio Republican official wrote on his blog
yesterday that Sen. John McCain would be in Dayton, Ohio the day
after the Democratic convention -- and was looking for a "big"
venue.
Wrote Alex Triantafilou: "Sen. McCain is expected to host a rally on August 29 in
Dayton and is looking for a BIG venue and for a BIG crowd. He'll get
it. This is not yet public. I guess I just made it so."
Today, that sentence has disappeared from the site.
Mon Aug 18, 2008 more from this source»»
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