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Lieberman Would Be Crushed Today   more similar news »
A new Research 2000 poll found that if Connecticut voters could vote again in the 2006 U.S. Senate race they would have elected Ned Lamont (D) over Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I), 51% to 36%, with Alan Schlesinger (R) getting 7%.

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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Birthday Complicates Timing for McCain   more similar news »
Nathan Gonzales from the Rothenberg Political Report sends us this information observation:

"With all of the talk about John McCain unveiling his running mate immediately after the Democratic National Convention to alleviate Barack Obama's bounce, there could be a wrinkle in McCain's potential plans: his birthday."

"McCain turns 72 years old on August 29, the day after the Democrats' convention. So while the Arizona senator could swipe some media attention from Obama by announcing his vice presidential choice during the time between the conventions, the senator's birthday and age will be a prominent media story. And it will be contrasted even further with the age of his running mate."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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Baucus Challenger Tries to Preempt Personal Attacks   more similar news »
Saying he's concerned Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) "may use personal smears" in their Senate campaign, challenger Bob Kelleher (R) "laid out his life's faults" yesterday, the Missoulian reports.

Kelleher noted that he dropped out of a monastery "because he couldn't handle the vow of chastity." He also noted he has since been married and divorced three times and has seven children "and regrets the impact his absence had on their lives."

Said Kelleher: "I wanted to have fun."

Not surprisingly, CQ rates the race Safe Democrat.

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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Obama, McCain Tied Among Catholics   more similar news »
A new Time poll of Catholic voters that reveals that Sen. Barack Obama has pulled even with Sen. John McCain among that constituency -- Obama now polls 44% to McCain's 45%.

The poll "confirmed that a majority of Catholics (59%) can be broadly defined as pro-life (opposing abortion except to protect a woman's life or health or in cases of rape or incest). But these pro-life Catholics are actually split into two voting camps: conservative Catholics who consider abortion to be a determining factor, and Catholics who feel that social issues can be trumped in times of economic and national insecurity."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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Americans Favor Flag Pins   more similar news »
"As the Fourth of July approaches, six in 10 of those surveyed in a USA Today/Gallup Poll say sporting an American flag pin indicates that a person is patriotic, one of a half-dozen actions that most say reflect a love of country."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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Obama Considers Cutting Convention Short   more similar news »
According to the Los Angeles Times, Sen. Barack Obama's campaign and the Democratic National Committee "are toying with a convention scheduling change that has been broached before in theory but never seriously considered: cutting the party's conclave in Denver short by one day to give Obama an extra day of post-nomination bounce in the crowded August calendar."

"Adding to the Democrats' calculation is the growing speculation that McCain will announce his running mate in the brief intermission between the two conventions -- a good way to seize the spotlight from the just-nominated Democrat."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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McCain Uses Loopholes in McCain-Feingold Law   more similar news »
The Wall Street Journal reports that allies of Sen. John McCain "have found new loopholes in the campaign-finance law he helped write -- and they're using them to reel in huge contributions to help him compete with Sen. Barack Obama."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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VA-5 Race Seen as Competitive   more similar news »
The emergence of a "vigorous and well-funded" Democratic challenger in the VA-5 congressional race has prompted CQ Politics to change its rating on the race to reflect the possibility of a competitive contest this fall.

The rating, which was Safe Republican, is now Republican Favored. This means Rep. Virgil Goode (R-VA) "still is considered likely to win re-election in the 5th, a sprawling area that stretches from just north of Charlottesville to the state's border with North Carolina. But it also means that the contest is at least mildly competitive at the moment."

Thu Jul 03, 2008
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McCain Switches Campaign Managers (Again)   more similar news »
"Steve Schmidt is taking over the day-to-day operation of John McCain's campaign," according to Jonathan Martin. At a staff meeting this morning, campaign manager Rick Davis made the announcement about Schmidt's new role.

However, "accounts diverge on the exact nature of the new chain of command. One top McCain source said that Schmidt 'assumed full operational control of the campaign today' and described Davis as 'a general manager.' But Charlie Black, another top adviser, said Davis was still in charge."

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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RNC Readies Ad Blitz   more similar news »
The Republican National Committee "has reserved advertising slots in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, large buys that could mark the first serious wave of televised attacks on Barack Obama," according to Ben Smith.

"Obama is on the air in 18 states, and has been using his financial advantage to tell his preferred version of his biography, one that roots him in Kansas values and centrist political issues."

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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Hispanic Voters Back Obama   more similar news »
Hispanic voters may have preferred Sen. Hillary Clinton over Sen. Barack Obama in the Democratic primaries, but a new Gallup poll shows them lining up solidly behind Obama over Sen. John McCain in the general election, 59% to 29%.

Meanwhile, the New Mexico Independent reports that in New Mexico and other "battleground" states with large Hispanic populations -- Colorado, Nevada, Florida, and possibly Arizona -- pollsters found Obama leading McCain in those states 57% to 26%.

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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Clinton Advisers Join Team Obama   more similar news »
The New York Observer: "In the weeks since Mrs. Clinton officially suspended her candidacy, the Obama campaign has recruited the services of the Clinton campaign's director of national security, Lee Feinstein, as well as foreign-policy advisers Mara Rudman, the deputy national security advisor under Bill Clinton; Robert Einhorn, a former assistant secretary for nonproliferation at the State Department; and Stuart Eizenstat, an international-trade specialist who was policy director for Jimmy Carter's 1976 campaign. On the domestic side, Gene Sperling, who was the top economic adviser on the Clinton campaign, has begun consulting with the Obama policy team."

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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Quinnipiac: Connecticut Solidly for Obama   more similar news »
A new Quinnipiac poll in Connecticut finds Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 21 points, 56% to 35%.

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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NY-13 Likely to Flip to Democrats   more similar news »
Democrats "now appear to hold a solid edge in the battle for the seat New York Republican Rep. Vito J. Fossella left open -- after the married father of three admitted in May that he has a daughter from an ongoing extramarital relationship," according to CQ Politics.

"The Republicans' lack of a consensus replacement candidate less than two weeks before the July 10 candidate filing deadline, with no top-tier prospects at hand for the party's Sept. 9 primary, has prompted CQ to change its rating on the race in NY-13 to Democrat Favored from No Clear Favorite."

The NY-13 House seat is New York City's only remaining Republican held seat.

For more, see CQ's Races to Watch.

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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McCain Strategy Worries Insiders   more similar news »
Top Republican officials, "frustrated by what they view as inconsistent messaging, sluggish fundraising and an organization that is too slow to take shape, are growing increasingly uneasy about the direction of the McCain presidential campaign," according to Politico.

"While the practice of second-guessing presidential campaign decisions is a quadrennial routine, interviews with 16 Republican strategists and state party chairmen -- few of whom would agree to talk on the record -- reveal a striking level of discord and mounting criticism about the McCain operation."

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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Battle of the Wives   more similar news »
A new AP/Yahoo News poll shows that Michelle Obama and Cindy McCain are about equally liked among Americans, but that Mrs. Obama is twice as disliked as Mrs. McCain.

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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The Political Futures   more similar news »
On Intrade, Obama has a 64.6% chance of winning the presidential election. McCain has a 30.2% chance of winning.

On the Iowa Political Market, Obama has a 66.5% chance of winning. McCain has a 33% chance of winning.

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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McCain Not Fundraising Down Ballot   more similar news »
Sen. John McCain "has begun to raise eyebrows in Republican circles for his lack of fundraising help on behalf of his party's House and Senate campaign committees," according to The Hill.

"The Arizona senator has yet to send a fundraising appeal for those committees nearly four months after becoming his party's presumptive nominee, and he skipped out on a major fundraising dinner for them in recent weeks."

Wed Jul 02, 2008
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CNN Poll: McCain, Obama in Tight Race   more similar news »
The latest CNN/Opinion Research poll shows Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama locked in a statistical dead heat in the race for the White House. Obama holds a narrow 5-point advantage among registered voters nationwide over McCain, 50% to 45%.

In a four way match-up that includes independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr, Obama's lead over McCain dwindles to 3 points, 46% to 43%. (Nader registers 6% while Barr gets 3%.)

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Obama, McCain Met With Powell   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama met privately with former Secretary of State Colin Powell two weeks ago, The Hotline reports.

"The blogosphere is abuzz with speculation that Powell could back the Democrat, a sign of his disaffection with the Republican Party and the Bush administration. The nod could, of course, also carry weight with voters concerned about Obama's lack of foreign policy experience. In poll after poll, the only consistent question in which McCain bests Obama is on the matter of who is best able to handle national security issues. A Powell endorsement of Obama would certainly be a blow to the Arizona senator's chief selling point -- that he is better prepared to be commander in chief."

Powell also met recently with Sen. John McCain.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Know Your Power   more similar news »
Expect to see a lot more of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in the coming weeks.

Pelosi's first book, Know Your Power: A Message to America's Daughters, will be published at the end of this month, "allowing the Speaker to hit the book promotion trail as she prepares for her spotlighted role as permanent chair of the Democratic National Convention in late August," according to CQ Politics.

In the book, Pelosi "tells how her work on behalf of then-California Gov. Jerry Brown's 1976 presidential campaign helped turn her from a San Francisco housewife and mother of five who dabbled in Democratic Party politics into a serious political figure who became California's state party chair in the early 1980s. In 1987, all her hard work paid off when she was elected to the House in a special election from San Francisco, the Baltimore native's adopted hometown."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Most See McCain as Too Much Like Bush   more similar news »
A recent USA Today/Gallup poll has very bad news for Sen. John McCain: "Two in three Americans concerned that McCain would pursue policies as president that are too similar to what George W. Bush has pursued. Nearly half -- 49% -- say they are 'very concerned' about this."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Martinez Will Face Tough Re-Election Battle in 2010   more similar news »
Sen. Mel Martinez (R-FL) -- not up for re-election until 2010 -- is in grave danger of losing that challenge, according to a new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida. The poll found that just 23% of voters in the state currently approve of his job performance.

Meanwhile, in a potential 2010 match up, state CFO Alex Sink (D) leads Martinez, 37% to 31%.

Martinez also struggles against Rep. Robert Wexler (D-FL), with their match up showing a 33% to 33% tie.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Landrieu Holds Re-Election Edge   more similar news »
A new Southern Media and Opinion Research poll in Lousiana finds Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) holding a slight lead over challenger John Kennedy (R), 46% to 40%.

CQ rates the race Leans Democratic.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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PPP Poll: Obama Slightly Ahead in Florida   more similar news »
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida finds Sen. Barack Obama narrowly leading Sen. John McCain, 46% to 44%, on the basis of greater support among Hispanics.

Four years ago, President Bush won Hispanic voters in the state, 56% to 44%, but this survey shows Obama leading among them, 51% to 37%.

In addition, Obama is winning every age group except voters over 65, where McCain's considerable 52% to 34% advantage allows him to keep the race competitive overall.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Quinnipiac: McCain Drags Lieberman Down   more similar news »
A new Quinnipiac poll shows Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) with a 45% approval rating, his lowest score ever.

Said pollster Douglas Schwartz: "Sen. Lieberman's approval rating has dropped below 50 percent for the first time in 14 years of polling, with nearly two-thirds of Democrats giving him low marks, probably because he is campaigning for Sen. John McCain."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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PPP Poll: McCain Edges Obama in North Carolina   more similar news »
A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds Sen. John McCain just ahead of Sen. Barack Obama, 45% to 41%.

Key finding: Obama continues to have difficulty nailing down the votes of self identified Democrats  --  right now he leads 67% to 20% among them. It's not a new phenomenon for a meaningful number of voters in North Carolina to vote Democratic on much of their ballot but not for President, but Obama will need to push that number up closer to 80% to have much of a chance of taking the state."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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McCain May Unveil Veep to Limit Obama Bounce   more similar news »
The New York Times examines the timing of announcing running mates and notes that while Sen. John McCain has limited choices compared to Sen. Barack Obama, the August calendar also presents an opportunity for him.

"The Democratic convention ends on Thursday Aug. 28, and the Republican convention begins the following Monday. What better way for Mr. McCain to squash whatever lift Mr. Obama receives from his convention than to announce his choice for running mate just as Democrats are folding their tent in Denver? It would knock Mr. Obama to the back of the stage and give Mr. McCain a nice little lift going into his own convention. And yes, Republicans say that is something that is under very serious consideration in the McCain camp."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Strategic Vision: McCain Leads in Florida, Georgia   more similar news »
Political Wire got an advance look at two Strategic Vision polls that will be officially released tomorrow.

In Florida, Sen. John McCain leads Sen. Barack Obama, 49% to 43%, with Libertarian Bob Barr getting 1%. 

In Georgia, McCain leads Obama, 51% to 43%, with Barr pulling 3% in his home state.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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NRA Plans Blitz Against Obama   more similar news »
The National Rifle Association "plans to spend about $40 million on this year's presidential campaign, with $15 million of that devoted to portraying Sen. Barack Obama as a threat to the Second Amendment rights upheld last week by the Supreme Court," according to Politico.

"The politically powerful gun rights group will split its message efforts between communicating with its 4 million members and the tens of millions more firearms owners across the country."

So far, a USA Today analysis shows outside groups "have spent more than $25 million since Jan. 1, 2007, on independent expenditures, and more than 70% has gone toward Democratic candidates."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Bush Backers Stay Away from McCain   more similar news »
Though President Bush has headlined a fundraising event to help Sen. John McCain finance his campaign, "most of the big-money backers who helped reelect Bush in 2004 haven't pulled out their checkbooks for McCain -- or asked their friends to chip in either," according to the Boston Globe.

"McCain's struggle to mobilize the Bush fund-raisers is in part a sign of the disaffection among some GOP stalwarts for McCain, who positions himself as a party rebel on some issues. But it's also a sign of the obstacles that any Republican nominee would face in exciting elite GOP donors at a time of discouraging poll numbers driven by economic turmoil and frustration over the Iraq war."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Wall Street Backs Obama   more similar news »
"Wall Street is investing heavily in Barack Obama. Although the Democratic presidential hopeful has vowed to raise capital gains and corporate taxes, financial industry bigs have contributed almost twice as much to Obama as to GOP rival John McCain," a New York Daily News analysis of campaign records shows.

David Brooks take the analysis further and notes the real core of Obama's financial support "are not just small donors but the rising class of information age analysts."

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Another GOP Seat Up for Grabs   more similar news »
A new SurveyUSA poll in KY-2 to fill the seat of retiring Rep. Ron Lewis (R-KY) shows David Boswell (D) and Brett Guthrie (R) effectively even. Boswell edges Guthrie, 47% to 44%, but within the survey's 4.3 percentage point margin of sampling error.

The CQ backgrounder has this seat Safe Republican.

Tue Jul 01, 2008
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Obama Talks to Bill Clinton   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama and former President Bill Clinton had their much-anticipated telelphone conversation today.

According to a statement: "Senator Obama had a terrific conversation with President Clinton and is honored to have his support in this campaign.  He has always believed that Bill Clinton is one of this nation's great leaders and most brilliant minds, and looks forward to seeing him on the campaign trail and receiving his counsel in the months to come,"

Mon Jun 30, 2008
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Rasmussen: McCain Holds Wide Lead in Georgia   more similar news »
A new Rasmussen Reports survey in Georgia finds Sen. John McCain well ahead of Sen. Barack Obama, 53% to 43%.

The only real surprise is that Libertarian candidate Bob Barr gets only 1% of the vote in his home state, suggesting he's not likely to be much of a factor.

Mon Jun 30, 2008
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