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What Obama's Pick Means   more similar news »
Politico examines Sen. Barack Obama's selection of Sen. Joe Biden as his running mate and says it tells us five things about the Democratic nominee:

1. He's fixing for a fight.
2. He's a lot more conventional than advertised.
3. He's insecure about security.
4. He's more worried about Lunchbox Joe than Bubba.
5. He doesn't hold a grudge -- or at least doesn't let one get in the way.

Sun Aug 24, 2008
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WP/ABC Poll: Obama Leads By Four Points   more similar news »
The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 49% to 45%.

"The results show little movement from the last Post-ABC survey, conducted in mid-July, before Obama embarked on a highly publicized trip overseas and prior to a series of fierce exchanges between the campaigns. Other recent national polls also show only limited changes in the overall race heading into the conventions, although several of those surveys indicate an even-tighter race."

The poll was taken before Obama named Sen. Joe Biden as his running mate.

Sun Aug 24, 2008
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Early Reactions to Obama's Pick   more similar news »
Just as news broke early this morning of Sen. Barack Obama's choice of Sen. Joe Biden as his running mate, Sen. John McCain's campaign sent out a prepared attack ad using a quote from Biden saying that Obama was not "ready" to be president. It was predictable given that the two men were primary opponents; more interesting will be the Obama campaign's response this morning.

From a purely political perspective, no presidential campaign has ever handled the announcement of a running mate so deftly. The Obama campaign set a new standard that will be studied for years.

Other reactions:

New York Times: "Mr. Obama's selection ended a two-month search that was conducted almost entirely in secret. It reflected a critical strategic choice by Mr. Obama: To go with a running mate who could reassure voters about gaps in his résumé, rather than to pick someone who could deliver a state or reinforce Mr. Obama's message of change."

Politico: "On foreign policy and national security, an area where John McCain regularly assails Obama's lack of experience, Democrats offer few more seasoned practitioners than Biden."

First Read: "On the Democratic side, it was a collective 'phew.' As the days got nearer for the pick, it was hard to find a Democrat -- even savvy Clintonites -- who weren't hoping it would be Biden. Only the most strident Hillary supporters appear to be upset this morning. On the GOP side, the sound you heard was disappointed silence. Of everyone on the short list, the candidate many Republicans least wanted to see Obama pick was Biden."

Mark Halperin: "Balanced against all of those unmatched qualifications is one quality that has afflicted Biden for as long as anyone can remember: a persistent tendency to say silly, offensive, and off-putting things. Over the next few days (and, likely, weeks) some of Biden's ungreatest hits of gab will be recycled by the media and Republicans aiming to take the luster off Obama's choice of running mate."

Craig Crawford: "Obama-Biden works on several fronts, A longtime sentimental favorite among the Democratic faithful, Delaware Sen. Joe Biden provides a comfort zone for labor leaders, Catholics (he is one) and national-security voters. Although Biden's poor fundraising skills doomed his presidential campaigns, he performs extremely well in debates and demonstrated considerable skill at shifting from the arcane language of the Senate chamber to the street language of the campaign trail."

David Brody: "Time will tell if Barack Obama made the right choice in picking Joe Biden but if you look at it on paper, it makes a whole lot of sense."

Marc Ambinder: "Obama-Biden will be a formidable ticket, and a risky ticket, and not a comfort zone choice for Obama."

Jonathan Cohn: "Conservatives will blast [Biden's] record, just as surely as liberals will (or should) celebrate it. But one of the virtues of having Biden as the vice presidential nominee is that he won't take those kinds of attacks lightly. He'll fight back. He'll remind people, rightly, that being a liberal Democrat means raising the minimum wage, making sure everybody has affordable health care, providing strong public schools, and protecting human rights. Then, he'll ask why conservative Republicans don't want the same things. That's exactly the kind of political debate this country needs. By picking Biden as a running mate, Obama has signaled that he welcomes this argument--and intends, finally, to win it."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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Obama's Text Message   more similar news »
From: 622-62

Barack has chosen Senator Joe Biden to be our VP nominee.  Watch the first Obama-Biden rally live at 3pm ET on www.BarackObama.com. Spread the word!

August 23, 3:29 AM

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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Biden Gets Secret Service Protection   more similar news »
According to ABC News, the U.S. Secret Service "has dispatched a protective detail to assume the immediate protection of Sen. Joseph Biden (D-DE)... indicating in all likelihood that Biden has been officially notified that Sen. Barack Obama has selected him to be his running mate."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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Bloomberg May Fight Term Limits   more similar news »
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg "has quietly approached some of the city's most powerful media figures to assess whether their publications would endorse a bid to overturn New York City's term limits, which could clear a path for him to run for re-election next year," the New York Times reports.

"Such a move would upend New York's political world and be a dramatic reversal for the mayor."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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Activity at Biden's House   more similar news »
CNN -- which has had a camera trained on Sen. Joe Biden's home all day -- reports there is now "a flurry of activity" there.

"Cars have recently pulled into the driveway -- including a police car -- and Biden's daughter, son, and wife are now believed to be inside."

First Read: "Just asking, so which news organization is going to irresponsibly go with Biden without confirmation from Biden or the Obama campaign -- even though they all have the same information we do? Some news org who loves credit and hits has to be itchin'..."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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Obama Text Message Will Be In Morning   more similar news »
The AP reports several Obama aides "said the text message announcement would be distributed Saturday morning, a few hours before a scheduled rally at the Old State Capitol in Springfield, Ill., where the Democratic ticket would appear for the first time."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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It's Not Bayh or Kaine   more similar news »
Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN) and Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine (D) have been told by Sen. Barack Obama's campaign they will not be his vice presidential choice, NBC News reports.

"Speculation about Obama's choice has centered on Bayh, Kaine and Delaware Sen. Joseph Biden. Other names in the mix include Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson and Texas Rep. Chet Edwards."

Campaign officials told the AP that they "had taken the trouble to print material bearing the names of several potential ticketmates -- thereby minimizing the significance of a report that a printing company in Kansas was churning out signs bearing Bayh's name."

The AP confirms Kaine was told he's not Obama's pick.

CNN confirms Bayh was told he's not the pick either.

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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More Running Mate Hints?   more similar news »
A Kansas City television station reports a local company is printing Obama-Bayh bumper stickers. The design, however, looks very unlikely. A reader also notes there's no union label on the bumper sticker.

Marc Ambinder finds a charter flight from Chicago to Delaware. More information here. Could it be Joe Biden's flight?

The New York Times asked Sen. Hillary Clinton if she wanted to be Obama's pick, and she responded: "I have never said I did. I have always said I would do whatever I can because I feel so strongly in making sure that we elect senator Obama our next president. I'm going to do everything I can as I did yesterday in Florida to make sure that happens."

The Hotline staked out Biden's home in Delaware: "We have not seen the senator or his wife, leading some to wonder if he may have snuck out overnight."

Dan Balz is impressed with the Obama campaign: "So far they've orchestrated the vice presidential roll out deftly -- delaying it until the eve of the convention to assure that they dominate the last days before opening night with real news, while steadily ratcheting up the frenzy of speculation in the days beforehand."

And so is Politico: "In dragging out the announcement of his vice-presidential nominee to almost the eve of the Democratic National Convention, Barack Obama has at once demonstrated his willingness to defy conventional political expectations--and to hold the news media in his thrall while doing it."

Sat Aug 23, 2008
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The Money Is On Biden   more similar news »
For what it's worth, the political futures markets are converging Friday afternoon on Sen. Joe Biden as the most likely running mate for Sen. Barack Obama.

Of course, they're trading on the same unsubstantiated rumors that everyone else hears.

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Turnout Among Unmarried Women Key for Obama   more similar news »
A new Greenberg Quinlan Roser survey finds unmarried women overwhelmingly backing Sen. Barack Obama for president, 58% to 29%, "but their commitment to voting lags behind the rest of the country."

Key finding: "It is almost impossible to understand the 'women's vote' without understanding the role marital status plays in political decision-making. Marital status not only drives how women vote, but whether they vote."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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WSJ Retracts Report Kaine is Chosen   more similar news »
Ben Smith reports that the Wall Street Journal sent out an alert saying Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine was chosen as Sen. Barack Obama's running mate. However, it was immediately retracted.

Didn't this same thing happen to another Rupert Murdoch-led media company four years ago?

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Franken Moves Ahead of Coleman in Senate Race   more similar news »
The latest Minnesota Public Radio poll shows Al Franken (D) inching ahead of Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) in their U.S. Senate race, 41% to 40%.

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Senate Republicans Fail in Fundraising Effort   more similar news »
Sen. John Ensign (R-NV), the head of the Senate Republicans' campaign effort, said his colleagues "have not heeded his calls for contributions to contested races, threatening advertising on behalf of GOP candidates," CQ Politics reports.

Said Ensign: "It has become clear that my call has gone largely unanswered. I have no control over the timing or content of (independent) ads, but I have had no choice but to decrease the total budget for our (independent expenditures) unit.

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Edwards Said to Be On Short List   more similar news »
The Associated Press reports that Sen. Barack Obama "is hours away from naming his running mate, as little-known Texas congressman Chet Edwards is emerging as a finalist."

"Democratic officials say that Edwards was one of the few Democrats whose background was checked by Obama's campaign, and he was a finalist for the job."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Obama Makes the Calls   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama "called some people on his short-list for the vice presidential slot Thursday night to tell them he had not selected them as running mate," a highly placed Democratic party source told CNN.

The source did not say which people got the call.

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Why McCain's Homes Matter   more similar news »
Sen. John McCain's inability to tell a reporter how many home he owns became a major issue in the campaign last night, with segments on all three network news programs.

Chris Cilliza nails why it matters: "In politics, there is nothing worse than appearing out of touch."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Obama Weighed Change vs. Experience in Pick   more similar news »
We know Sen. Barack Obama has made his choice for a running mate, and a source tells CNN Obama was "very hung up on the experience versus change" and how his message of change may conflict with a longtime Washington insider.

"The source doesn't know who Obama ultimately chose, but confirms Sens. Joe Biden and Evan Bayh, along with Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine are all in the running."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Kaine Allies Don't Think It's Him   more similar news »
Marc Abminder: "Virginia Democrats close to Gov. Tim Kaine read a lot into Kaine's body language during the day yesterday. He seemed... to know.  Apparently, he doesn't have much of a poker face. From his mien, we've all concluded that Obama told Kaine he wouldn't be picked and that Kaine was wearing the rejection."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Detroit Free Press: Obama Jumps to Lead in Michigan   more similar news »
A new Detroit Free Press poll in Michigan gives Sen. Barack Obama a seven point lead over Sen. John McCain, 46% to 39%.

Key findings: "Obama has significantly more support among voters younger than 35 and an 11-point lead among women statewide. Among men, the two candidates are virtually tied."

"Still, the numbers could move. Nearly one-third -- 31% -- of those polled said they could be persuaded to change their minds by Election Day Nov. 4."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Biden Family Gathers in Delaware   more similar news »
In anticipation of Sen. Barack Obama's announcement of a running mate, NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports that one of Sen. Joe Biden's sons was flown in a private plane from Maine to the Senator's home in Delaware on Wednesday. Biden is "gathering the clan."

Another report said Biden has stopped talking to the media again.

Jonathan Alter thinks it's Biden "for some of the very reasons that were thought to disqualify Biden."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Romney?   more similar news »
Mark Halperin has two Republican sources who say Sen. John McCain will pick Mitt Romney as his running mate.

Update: He took down the report with no explanation.

Update II: Marc Ambinder reports there are "hints" of a major McCain rally being planned in Michigan "on or about 8/31."

Fri Aug 22, 2008
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Fox News: Another Poll Gives Obama Three Point Lead   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama has a slim lead over Sen. John McCain, 42% to 39% with 14% undecided, according to a new Fox News poll.

Key finding: "McCain has slightly stronger backing from his party: 82 percent of Republicans support him compared to 78 percent of Democrats that support Obama."

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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Obama Made His Decision   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama told USA Today this afternoon "that yes, he has made up his mind about whom his running mate will be -- but he would not reveal the name or just when he will tell the nation about his choice."

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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RGN Poll: Nevada Race is Very Tight   more similar news »
A new Reno Gazette Journal/KTVN poll finds Nevada "continues to be a true toss-up in the presidential race."

In the poll of likely voters, Sen. Barack Obama edges Sen. John McCain, 44% to 43%.

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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Obama to Highlight McCain's Houses   more similar news »
Sen. Barack Obama's campaign, "moving rapidly to exploit what they see as a major opportunity, is deploying high-profile surrogates in 16 states across the country today to highlight John McCain's uncertainty yesterday about how many houses he owns," according to Politico.

"Governors, members of Congress and state legislators will hold conference calls and press conferences in front of homes to draw attention to the issue."

CNN quotes Obama today on the campaign trail: "Now think about that -- I guess if you think that being rich means you gotta make five million dollars, and if you don't know how many houses you have, then it's not surprising that you might think the economy is fundamentally strong," he continued. "But if you're like me and you've got one house -- or you were like the millions of people who are struggling right now to keep up with their mortgage so that they don't lose their home -- you might have a different perspective..."

The Obama campaign even put up a new ad on the topic.

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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Nothing Has Changed, Race Is Still Close   more similar news »
The following guest post is from Charlie Cook, publisher of the Cook Political Report.

In recent days, it has been killing me to watch over-caffeinated journalists, bloggers and cable networks talk about the Presidential race tightening up. The bottom line: Obama has been pretty consistently in the lead by 2-4 points since March. The gap between Democrats and Republicans on generic presidential and congressional ballot tests has narrowed ever so slightly, but it's hard to imagine that Democrats could hold such leads as the campaign begins in earnest.
      
The media cycle is oh-so-predictable. One poll comes out with a wider margin than the average. The 'Excitables' then push the "Obama is pulling away" mantra, despite the fact that the poll was an outlier from most of the others.  Then that same polling organization (the same ones often provide a disproportionate share of the outliers) will come out with a new poll, close to the average, and the new mantra is "Obama's lead is evaporating." Meanwhile, very little, if anything, has happened.
      
This race, in my opinion, has been close, is close and hasn't changed much.  Republicans have firmed up a bit but that is to be expected.  Obama still is underperforming in his party, a sign that should be worrisome to Democrats.  But, again, that is not new.

If you see the Pollster.com trend estimates or the Real Clear Politics averages get to dead even and stay there for a few days, or Obama widen his lead to six for more than a few days, you know the race has changed. But until then, avoid over interpreting outlier polls.

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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MPR Poll: Obama Holds Double-Digit Lead in Minnesota   more similar news »
A new Minnesota Public Radio poll in Minnesota shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 10 points, 48% to 38%.

However, the poll indicates the race is still very fluid and suggests McCain could close the gap, and possibly win in Minnesota, if he picks Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) as his running mate.

Key findings: "The results show deep disapproval of President Bush's job performance and a view that the country is heading in the wrong direction. Both of those factors are helping Obama and hurting McCain. Age appears to be a negative for McCain, and lack of experience is hurting Obama."

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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InsiderAdvantage: North Carolina is Very Close   more similar news »
The latest InsiderAdvantage survey in North Carolina finds Sen. John McCain just ahead of Sen. Barack Obama, 45% to 43%.

But the biggest news might be from the U.S. Senate race where Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) and challenger Kay Hagan (D) are tied at 40% each.

Thu Aug 21, 2008
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